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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #46 
IT'S BEEN A LONG TIME SINCE I HAVE SEEN THIS, BUT THE BARRON'S INSIDER'S TRANSACTIONS RATIO HAS BEEN RUNNING IN EXTREME BEARISH TERRITORY FOR THE LAST TWO WEEKS NOW...  [rolleyes]

On occasion, I have seen the ratio spike to over 40 or 50, but it usually lasts only 1 week...this time, it's stayed up close to 50 two straight weeks....a 49 (this week's ratio) means that for every $1 purchase of shares by insiders, there are $49 of shares being sold by insiders.

You CAN'T time the markets off this signal (and therefore, it hardly counts as a trading signal), but what it does tells us is that the corporate insiders are not seeing much value in the stock market right now, but they do see plenty of opportunity to sell out to the retail crowd (via mutual funds, 401ks, IRAs and pensions, as well as individual investors) while prices remain elevated....

Though we can't time a SELL signal from this, what can be said is that if there is not much value in taking on new positions, then what's left to keep this market propped up? It's something to think about, at least...

Barron's Insider Ratio Chart ( found at this link )

[b-insider] 


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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #47 
BARRON'S MAKES A NEW PREDICTION THAT KING DOLLAR WILL DROP IN 2017...

They make some very interesting points as to why the general public is likely wrong about a stronger dollar in 2017....

I can't go into all of the reasons here, as you will have to read it for yourselves at...

http://www.barrons.com


But suffice to say that one of the reasons they give is that it's simply a crowded trade, and crowded trades often provide the tinder to move a market downward because of all of the pent-up selling demand....

Among other things, I am still holding two NUGT March 10th $11 calls...and the chart finished very encouragingly on Friday by pushing beyond the 100 day resistance line on Friday...this despite a farily robust Jobs Report!

NUGT daily chart

[image] 



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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #48 
Here's KTOS again...I posted this chart back on February 1st, but so busy on Friday, I totally missed the pop....

But it is still early in the new base breakout for this critical small cap military defense company stock...I might still have a chance to jump back on board...???


KTOS Daily Chart

[image] 





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Koog

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Reply with quote  #49 
Ace ... Going back thru some previous lists, i came across THM ...
While charting using several different charts, one that is my TripleX version.
I see a nice set-up in several different charts. Even in a TripleX chart....Take a look ....

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=THM&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p93385394638

My guess is you can see more in this type chart than myself....Just curious
I feel like the setup is one that looks to be promising to rise....
 
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Littleshark

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Reply with quote  #50 
I modified and extended your chart Koog ...

ACE ,,, WATCH http://schrts.co/JHr0kJ ERII now ... rising up from a higher low inverted H&S bottom ,,, resistance above ,,, but price finding support on the 10ema ,,, so a watch in case this gains momentum ...

http://schrts.co/4aYLnY count back 10 days ,,, back end action should help 10ma to keep rising as support for higher prices ... count back 20 days ,,, count back 50 days and you get Nov.22 ... if get higher prices next week ,,, back end effect and front end effect will make 50ma not go any lower ... if ...


Koog's mention above ,,, http://schrts.co/3i0Z4C THM ,, price finding support on the rising 10ma ~ not getting pulled down to the lower 50ma any more ... count back 10 days & 20 days & 50 days(Nov.22) ,, and all those average lines are going to get "back end" effect help at rising because lower then current prices will keep dropping out of the back end of each average line ... so the bears are going to have to fight rising average lines if they want to pull price down ... I wouldn't want to buy PUT's on that bet ... 200ma is rising also ='s less strength as overhead resistance ...
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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #51 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Koog
Ace ... Going back thru some previous lists, i came across THM ...
While charting using several different charts, one that is my TripleX version.
I see a nice set-up in several different charts. Even in a TripleX chart....Take a look ....

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=THM&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p93385394638

My guess is you can see more in this type chart than myself....Just curious
I feel like the setup is one that looks to be promising to rise....
 

-----------------------------
Hey Koog....a great looking chart there!

Not only is the XXX in bull mode, but I also detect a cup-n-handle base with the breakout pivot at $0.75 which coincides with the 200 day resistance line....if it can get above that 0.75 it might become a big mover, imho.

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #52 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Littleshark
I modified and extended your chart Koog ...

ACE ,,, WATCH http://schrts.co/JHr0kJ ERII now ... rising up from a higher low inverted H&S bottom ,,, resistance above ,,, but price finding support on the 10ema ,,, so a watch in case this gains momentum ...

http://schrts.co/4aYLnY count back 10 days ,,, back end action should help 10ma to keep rising as support for higher prices ... count back 20 days ,,, count back 50 days and you get Nov.22 ... if get higher prices next week ,,, back end effect and front end effect will make 50ma not go any lower ... if ...


Koog's mention above ,,, http://schrts.co/3i0Z4C THM ,, price finding support on the rising 10ma ~ not getting pulled down to the lower 50ma any more ... count back 10 days & 20 days & 50 days(Nov.22) ,, and all those average lines are going to get "back end" effect help at rising because lower then current prices will keep dropping out of the back end of each average line ... so the bears are going to have to fight rising average lines if they want to pull price down ... I wouldn't want to buy PUT's on that bet ... 200ma is rising also ='s less strength as overhead resistance ...

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Shark, thanks for bringing ERII back to my attention...I have not looked at it in about 2 weeks...

it is definitely showing some  strength of late....but it still has to penetrate the 50 MA which is more or less about even with some down-trend wedge lines....so a break-through of that barrier could help propel this one....thanks for your chart....well done!

Shark's ERII chart

[image] 



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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #53 
Most of Asia is higher this Sunday night, except for Australia...

The US Dollar continues to weaken, especially against the Yen....

So, gold, silver and platinum are modestly higher in Hong Kong tonight...

US futures are looking pretty flat....

Oil is modestly higher...

I look  forward to see everyone back here on Monday![cool]

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #54 
CNBC has an interesting story about rising bond and gold prices....which is what is happening lately including today....go to http://www.cnbc.com for the full story....

Here is an excerpt from that story....

"Higher gold prices paired with rising bond yields is one trend to watch to signal impending market volatility, according to a new report from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Both the stock market crash of 1973-1974 and Black Monday in October 1987 were preceded by three quarters of rising bond yields and rising gold, according to the report by strategist Michael Hartnett and colleagues...."

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #55 
MY TRADING PORTFOLIO IS OFF TO A GOOD START FOR THE WEEK....

ARTX +3.7% TODAY
EXK +2.4%
HYG (SHORT) +5.26%*
IMPUY +1%
NUGT +6.2% *

* Starred symbols represent options trade results

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #56 
BULL SENDS WELL WISHES TO FORUM MEMBERS...

He sent me an email that he had to delete his membership for now due to a project that requires him to be off message boards....

He also gave me his targets for GLD and SLV but I will have to locate that ....or maybe Shark posted those targets?

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #57 
Wow! The precious metals of gold and silver are really taking off now....

My positions in NUGT and EXK are hitting new 5 day trading highs!

I might need to up my position in IMPUY, a platinum miner, before the platinum metals stocks start to play catch up? PALDF is also a possibility, but its volume has been weak of late...

SWC was a logical choice in the past, but it is selling out to SBGL....I will have to look at SBGL to see how its chart looks, I guess.

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #58 
I bought 100 more shares of platinum miner IMPUY at $3.995 a share....now holding 300 shares of this one.
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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #59 
NUGT was up around $12.85 when I last checked about 30 minutes ago...

When I view the daily chart, I don't see any significant resistance until $15.80....that leads me to think this animal has room to run!

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acestocksplayer

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Reply with quote  #60 
I WONDER IF NOW IS THE TIME TO ENTER A LONG TRADE ON TLT...

Do you see where it broke down there on November 9th? I was sitting on some TBT calls (which is the same as shorting TLT)...and I racked up some nice profits off that trade back then...

I did buy a TLT call shortly after that, but that trade went nowhere...I got back long too soon....and had to exit, but my recollection is that I lost only a small amount on that reversal trade...

But now, it looks to me like TLT has bottomed, which is just the opposite of the what the herd has been believing the last few weeks....hmmmmm...

Look at those FAST RSIs rising...an early entry signal there....and look at the histo bars starting to curl up higher and that could indicate a possible bull trend just getting started...

TLT is very close to flipping those pSAR dots...and the RSI-14 black line is in very calm territory near 10 meaning that the prior bear trend has diminished to almost nothing...and that open gap is looming up above which beckons...

TLT daily chart

[image]

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